Canada’s GDP rose at a much stronger-than-expected 2.6% annualized pace in Q3, boosted by growth in housing and military spending.

November 28, 2025

Stronger-Than-Expected Canadian Q3 GDP Growth Seals the Deal on a BoC Rate Hold   GDP in Canada expanded at an annualized 2.6% pace in the third quarter, rebounding from a revised 1.8% drop in the previous period and well above forecasts of 0.5%. It is the largest increase in GDP this year, with imports sinking 8.6% while exports rose 0.7%. Also, investment […]

Canadian headline inflation slowed to 2.2% y/y in October, down from 2.4% in September.

November 17, 2025

Canadian Inflation Slows in October, But Not Enough to Trigger Another BoC Rate Cut in December The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.2% on a year-over-year basis in October, down from 2.4% in September. The all-items CPI decelerated largely due to gasoline prices, which fell at a faster year-over-year pace in October (-9.4%) than in September (-4.1%). Excluding gasoline, the CPI rose 2.6% in October, matching the […]

The Stronger-Than-Expected Jobs Report Takes A December BOC Rate Cut Off the table.

November 7, 2025

Forget A December BoC Rate Cut: October Labour Force Survey Much Stronger Than Expected Today’s Labour Force Survey for October showed a stronger-than-expected net employment gain of 66,600, on the heels of September’s upside surprise. Cumulative gains in September and October (+127,000; +0.6%) have offset cumulative declines observed in July and August (-106,000; -0.5%). Even more unexpected was the dip in the […]
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